Pin risk occurs when the closing price of an underlying asset aligns precisely with the strike price of an options contract on its expiration day. This proximity makes it uncertain whether the option will expire in-the-money (exercised) or out-of-the-money (unexercised), leading to potential unexpected assignment or non-assignment, especially for options sellers. For example, if a call option has a strike price of $50 and the stock closes at $50.01, the call option would technically be in-the-money and subject to assignment for the seller. However, if it closes at $49.99, it would be out-of-the-money. This minuscule difference can have significant consequences. Traders often use various strategies near expiration to avoid pin risk, such as closing out positions before expiration or rolling them over. The primary concern with pin risk is the uncertainty and the potential for a sudden, unanticipated position change. This can lead to unexpected stock settlement and associated financial implications, including margin calls or the need to buy or sell shares at an unfavorable price if the market moves against the trader shortly after expiration. Options market makers and sophisticated traders are particularly mindful of pin risk, as they often manage large portfolios of expiring contracts. Understanding pin risk is crucial for anyone involved in options trading, as it highlights a nuanced aspect of options expiration that can catch less experienced traders off guard. It emphasizes the importance of managing positions proactively as expiration approaches, rather than letting them go to the wire, to mitigate this specific type of uncertainty.
Pin risk primarily occurs on the expiration date of an options contract, particularly when the underlying asset's price is hovering very close to the option's strike price as the market closes.
To avoid pin risk, traders often close out their options positions before expiration or roll them over to a future expiration cycle. This removes the uncertainty of assignment or non-assignment at the last minute.
While options sellers (those who are short calls or puts) face a direct obligation if assigned, pin risk can indirectly affect options buyers as well, creating uncertainty about whether their options will be exercised and settled with shares.